Project Status
Travel Demand Forecasting
Monmouth & Ocean Counties worked with AECOM, an independent, ridership expert to analyze the preliminary ridership levels prepared by NJ Transit and to develop alternative ridership estimates.
On September 16, 2006, the counties met with NJ Transit and the NJ Department of Transportation to present the findings of this study effort.
AECOM determined potential ridership levels for the Monmouth Junction alignment as 41,000 per day.
| Statistic | Monmouth Junction |
| New Transit Trips | 11,000 |
| MOM Boardings | 41,000 |
| User Benefits (Hours) | 18,200 |
NJ Transit, Monmouth County Planning and AECOM
| Rail Alignment | NJ Transit | Monmouth County | AECOM Report for Ocean & Monmouth Counties |
| Monmouth Junction | 9,000 | 40,700 | 41,000 |
| Matawan | 10,900 | 22,200 | 25,800 |
| Red Bank | 7,900 | 12,000 | 20,000 |
| Rail Alignment | NJ Transit | Monmouth County | DIFFERENCE |
| Monmouth Junction | 9,000 | 40,700 | + 31,700 |
| Matawan | 10,900 | 22,200 | + 11,300 |
| Red Bank | 7,900 | 12,000 | + 4,100 |
- Progress on THE Tunnel (ARC);
- Use of dual-mode locomotives (operate in diesel and electric mode);
- Updated NJTPA socio-economic forecasts with different picture of the future for the corridor;
- FTA extending project evaluation year to 2030;
- MOM services are added to THE TUNNEL, providing a one seat ride directly to Midtown Manhattan using dual-mode locomotives;
- Continued federal funding approved for MOM Project through requests of Congressman James Saxton and Congressman Christopher Smith in the amount of $ 2.5 million.
- Applied attributes that would make a successful case for MOM in a FTA “new Start” context – meet federal requirements for future funding;
- Conducted a series of model runs to determine key operating conditions which contribute to viability of MOM alternatives.
Key
Finding: Market potential in corridor is sensitive to travel
time. Even small time savings are worth pursuing. - Increase frequency of train service
- Include more realistic parking capacity assumptions for key stations
- Include more realistic highway congestion figures
- Improve travel time which has a direct effect on user benefits
- Account for higher gas prices
- Address limitations of employment data in the model
As a result, NJ Transit has initiated a “new” working group comprised of professional staff from the three affected counties; Ocean, Monmouth and Middlesex along with a representative of the NJTPA, the North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority and project consultants. Our immediate focus is to review ridership forecasts between NJ Transit and the independent analysis prepared by AECOM. The first meeting is scheduled for October 30, 2006.
More detailed information is available on the NJ TRANSIT M-O-M website:
www.njtransit.com/an_cp_mom.shtmlCall Toll free: 1-866-MOM-DEIS (1-866-666-3347)
James Schwarzwalder, Project
Manager
NJ TRANSIT
One Penn Plaza East
Newark, NJ 07105-2246
Ocean
County Planning Board
129 Hooper Ave.
PO Box 2191
Toms River, NJ 08754-2191
Contact us
(732) 244-8396
Fax
Home/About Ocean County/Planning Board/Planning Staff/Information & Publications/Natural Lands Trust Fund/Farmland Preservation/ Community Development/Economic Development/Water Quality Issues/Coastal Issues/ Site Plans & Subdivisions/Transportation/Geographical Information Systems/State Development & Redevelopment Plan /Ocean County Municipalities/Ocean County Government
April 30, 2007
